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Consumer confidence in June at highest level since start of 2022

June 27, 2023

US consumer confidence rose in June to its highest level since January 2022, though consumers remain concerned about a possible recession, The Conference Board reported today. Its Consumer Conference Index now stands at 109.7 (1985=100), up from 102.5 in May.

“Consumer confidence improved in June to its highest level since January 2022, reflecting improved current conditions and a pop in expectations,” said Dana Peterson, chief economist at The Conference Board. “Greater confidence was most evident among consumers under age 35, and consumers earning incomes over $35,000. Nonetheless, the expectations gauge continued to signal consumers anticipating a recession at some point over the next six to 12 months.”

The June report found that 69.3% of consumers think the perceived likelihood of a recession over the next 12 Months is “somewhat” or “very” likely. However, that is down from 73.2% in May.

The report’s survey also found the spread between consumers saying jobs are “plentiful” versus “not so plentiful” widened, indicating upbeat feelings about a labor market that continues to outperform, Peterson said. Likewise, expectations for the next six months improved materially, reflecting greater confidence about future business conditions and job availability.

In June, 46.8% of consumers said jobs at the present time were plentiful, up from 43.3% in May. Conversely, 12.4% of consumers said jobs were hard to get, down from 12.6% in the prior month’s survey.

Consumers were also more upbeat about the short-term labor market outlook in the next six months, with 15.5% anticipating more jobs to be available, up from 13.8% in May. In addition, 16.0% anticipate fewer jobs ahead, down from 21.1% in May.