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Asia – Brexit could be positive for jobs market in the long term

29 June 2016

GRMSearch, a Hong-based executive search firm, says the outlook for the Asia region following the UK’s decision to leave the EU is mostly positive.

According to Rob Green, CEO of GRM Group, the view from GRM about Brexit’s impact on the Asian job market, and in particular within professional and financial services firms based here that have exposure to the UK and Europe is actually very little in the short term and could possibly be very positive in the medium and longer term.

“Why? Because despite the initial bump, the underlining fundamentals of most of the business and markets are sound and those with a good plan and good management in place will continue to diversify their risk, to grow and very much continue to hire,” Green said.

“We feel that after the initial shock settles down that most firms may look to Asia, and Hong Kong and Singapore in particular, as their growth markets/offices and hiring will actually increase, meaning this could well be a big boost for the job market in this region,” Green said.

“Investment banks, after the year they have had, have probably already earmarked some redundancy numbers, in underperforming departments, for this year,” Green said. “They may try to use Brexit as an excuse, but this will not be a knee-jerk reaction - it will have already been decided upon, and this won’t stop growth and hiring in other sections of the organisation.”

GRM predicts that private banks with sound growth plans in Asia will continue to build out and hire. Law firms will continue to strengthen in their core teams and may look to open in other Asian jurisdictions.

The firm also predicts that in the short term there may be an increase in temping/contracting as firms look to get skills in with less commitment to permanent hires. In the medium term there may be an increase in restructuring and insolvency work leading to hiring in the consulting and legal firms and compliance and regulatory work continues to be the financial markets biggest growing staffing area, this will continue.

“All in all our outlook is very positive for the region,” Green said. “As more firms look to diversify out of the "home" markets the biggest winners of that will be Asia and Africa. So our tip is to "keep calm and carry on", ignore the doom and gloom headlines that some media outlets love so much and look for the opportunities for growth and hiring, which almost certainly involve Hong Kong and Singapore. Other markets in Asia (SE Asia, China, Japan, Korea) will see a renewed focus by foreign firms looking to diversify and this will again lead to an increase in skilled hiring.”