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Companies focus spending on new hires, not existing workers, resulting in historic pay compression

November 15, 2019

Amid a tight labor market, companies in recent years have committed substantial sums to recruiting new hires; as a result, the wages for younger workers – a proxy for new hires – have risen sharply, according to The Conference Board.

An imbalance between spending on new hires and existing workers has resulted in historic pay compression, according to analysis conducted by The Conference Board. The gap between the wages of 20- to 24-year-olds and 25- to 34-year-olds recently declined to its smallest size in 36 years.

“With various pay transparency tools and websites at their disposal, existing workers have greater insight these days into what their colleagues who just came on board are earning,” said Frank Steemers, associate economist at The Conference Board. “If current workers perceive the salaries of new entrants as unreasonable compared to their own, companies can either brace for higher turnover or take steps to retain them, including raising their compensation.”

Ever since the aftermath of the Great Recession, US companies have largely refrained from raising their salary-increase budgets. The findings come from The Conference Board’s long-running Salary Increase Budget Survey, which queries compensation executives about their salary plans for the year ahead. While salary-increase budgets did experience an uptick in 2019, they remain well below prerecession rates.

“Weak inflation and low cost-of-living adjustments are partly contributing to stagnant salary-increase budgets, which explains why existing workers, as opposed to new hires, haven’t seen their wallets thicken to the extent many expected,” said Gad Levanon, head of the Labor Market Institute at The Conference Board.