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Leading index points to slow expansion

August 19, 2010

The Conference Board's U.S. leading economic index released today rose 0.1% in July to a level of 109.8. July's gain follows a 0.3% decline in June and 0.5% increase in May.

"The indicators point to a slow expansion through the end of the year," said Ken Goldstein, economist at The Conference Board. "With inventory rebuilding moderating, the industrial core of the economy has moved to a slower pace. There appears to be no change in the pace of the service sector. Combined, the result is a weak economy with little forward momentum. However, the good news is that the data do not point to a recession."